This is the last weekend before the November 5 presidential election. Anticipation is high. While the two candidates, Kamala Harris for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, are focusing on taking action in swing states, comes the news that, surprisingly, the Vice President is leading her opponent by at least 3 percentage points—47 percent to 44 percent—in Iowa, where the former President’s victory was taken for certain.
The new—and latest—Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, conducted by Selzer via telephone between Oct. 28 and 31, follows one in September where, by contrast, it was Trump ahead of Harris by 4 percentage points. Even in a June survey, before Joe Biden dropped out, the GOP candidate was pulling away from his opponent by 18 points.
808 Iowans participated in the poll, of whom some have already voted and others plan to do so this very weekend. Nine out of 10 said they already have in mind who will get their vote. And it is mostly women and older voters who are siding with Harris. The margin of error is 3 points.
Such a result could prove crucial for Harris, who is currently traveling to New York to appear on Saturday Night Live.
Neither campaign has held a rally in Iowa since the primary, which dates back to January, nor have they established a real presence there. Moreover, in the last two presidential primaries, in 2016 and 2020, Trump overwhelmingly won the state, which is why yet another victory had been taken for granted.
