The Koch political network, a powerhouse in U.S. conservative politics, faces an uphill battle in Iowa, where it’s supporting Nikki Haley in the Republican primaries against former President Donald Trump’s dominant position. With the Iowa caucuses approaching, Trump’s lead seems insurmountable, even as the Koch-backed group, Americans for Prosperity Action (AFP), invests heavily in Haley’s campaign.
Despite amassing over $70 million, roughly equal to President Joe Biden’s last quarter campaign earnings, AFP finds its influence waning in the Trump era. Their strategy is not to sway Trump supporters but to ensure Haley, a favorite among Wall Street donors, secures a respectable second place, surpassing Ron DeSantis. This strategy extends beyond the presidential race, as AFP aims to influence other state and local elections.
. However, the group’s efforts are encountering resistance on the ground. A recent Des Moines Register poll indicates Trump’s strong lead with 51% of likely Republican caucus-goers, while DeSantis and Haley trail with 19% and 16% support, respectively.
The Koch’s reluctance to support Trump in 2016 and 2020 continues as they seek to position Haley as a viable alternative. The campaign, invigorated by Koch-aligned resources, is geared towards accumulating enough votes in early primaries to present Haley as a credible contender, even in the face of Trump’s likely victory.
AFP’s ground campaign in Iowa is robust, with approximately 150 volunteers canvassing daily. Their strategy includes a mix of door-to-door visits, digital, and mail advertising. Since endorsing Haley, the group claims to have reached over 300,000 Iowa voters in her support.
Despite these efforts, the Trump factor remains a significant hurdle. Canvassers often encountered residents leaning towards Trump or DeSantis, reflecting a broader sentiment in the Republican base. This reality underscores the challenge for the Koch network and Haley’s campaign in shifting the tide in a political landscape still heavily influenced by Trump.
